Our Track Record Speaks for Itself
Below is a list of ALL Past Trades:
For certain weeks there are no trades listed. That is because there were no Signals given by the System that week. The System only gives off a Signal when conditions are “optimal.”
Notice that there is the possibility of having a 100% loss. Our returns are so high because weekly trades are risky. Any trader with common sense knows not to put all his eggs in one basket. While we cannot tell you how to allocate your money, with our money we do not put more than 20-25% in any one trade. That way, if there is a 100% loss, there is plenty of money left in the account to make it back and still have good returns.
For the Year 2017
Our first perfect year! We had no losses for the whole of 2017!
This year we got to play with Friday expiration, Wednesday expiration and the new Monday expiration in SPX options.
Had fewer trades than we would like last year due to historically low volatility. When volatility is so low, option premiums are also low and so good trades are harder to find.
For the Year 2016
The CBOE has introduced Wednesday expiration options. So these are weeklies that expire on Wednesday instead of Friday. We will be testing these with Bonus trades to see if they react the same way as the older weekly options.
For the Year 2015
The FED is expected to raise interest rates this year. This should result in increased volatility and many more trading opportunities so that we can pick and choose the best ones.
The implementation last year of the 50% stop loss was effective. All trades where we were stopped out would have been total losses.
Last year we focused on the SPX. For the most part the trades went well. There were a couple instances that we should have avoided, like the holiday weeks of Thanksgiving and Christmas.
For the Year 2014
We have concluded the tests on our new SPX trading System and starting in April, we made it part of our official trading plan. So now we have two systems. One on RUT and one on SPX. both offer the same type of trade but the signals for each are different. We should now have trades in both high volatility and low volatility markets.
|07/07/14||RUT||.20||-10.2%||RUT settled at 1159.51|
For The Year 2013
2013 was an awful year for weekly credit spreads. Because the market was in a strong uptrend, the volatility was taken out of the market. This lowered the prices of all options and so option sellers were not given enough credit for the risk they were taking. This lead to the System keeping us out of the market most of the year. And when signals were given, it was when some extraordinary event was taking place that was manipulating the markets like the turmoil in Washington.
We did have several Bonus trades, which are not listed here, but the System trades did not do well. This lead us to do a lot of testing and analysis. We came to a few realizations.
The following will be implemented in 2014:
1. We would be able to implement a stop loss of 50% without hurting any winning trades. This will significantly trim any losses.
2. We have also developed a separate System to trade the SPX. This will allow for more potential trades. The overall thesis of the SPX system is the same as the RUT System but allows us to initiate trades on more days. The results of testing the SPX System in 2012 and 2013 were very promising; great returns and many trades.
3. We expect volatility to return to the markets once the FED stops printing money with their Qualitative Easing program. This is expected to occur in the early part of 2014. This will allow the markets to return to normal trading and have the RUT System giving off more successful trading signals.
For The Year 2012
For The Year 2011